2025 NCAA Tournament projections: Bracketology and March Madness predictions

Following a weekend that was filled with highlights, upsets and statement wins, FOX Sports bracket forecaster Mike DeCourcy is back with his latest NCAA Tournament projections.

Duke (East), Auburn (South) and Iowa State (Midwest) remain No. 1 seeds in DeCourcy’s latest bracket, while Alabama (West) moved up to the 1-line following an impressive 102-97 win over Kentucky on Saturday.

While the Crimson Tide moved up to a No. 1 seed, Tennessee fell to a No. 2 seed, joining Kentucky, Purdue and Marquette. The Boilermakers continue to climb in DeCourcy’s projections as Matt Painter’s team has now won seven straight, including a top-25 win over Oregon this past weekend.

The Ducks are listed as a No. 3 seed, joined by Kansas, Michigan State and Florida, while Houston, Illinois, Memphis and Ole Miss make up the No. 4 seeds in DeCourcy’s latest projections.

As for the bubble, DeCourcy has Nebraska, Pitt, SMU and Xavier among his last four teams to get into the tournament, while UCF, Indiana, Cincinnati and Texas are listed as DeCourcy’s first four teams out of the NCAA Tournament.

Wake Forest, Penn State, Boise State and Washington State are DeCourcy’s next four teams out.

The SEC has the most representatives in DeCourcy’s latest compilation, with 12 teams. The Big Ten has nine teams represented, while the Big 12 has seven teams in the tournament, according to DeCourcy. The ACC has six teams, while the Big East has five. The Mountain West has three teams in the mix, while the West Coast Conference has two teams.

Here’s a full look at DeCourcy’s latest projections:

Michael DeCourcy covers college basketball for FOX Sports with an emphasis on NCAA Tournament bracket projections. He has appeared on FOX Sports college basketball game broadcasts, while also serving as a college basketball studio analyst with Big Ten Network. He has been covering college basketball for nearly three decades at the Sporting News. You can follow him at @tsnmike.

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